Unlocking Blue Storage for Green Electricity: A Nexus-Based Evaluation of Pumped Hydro Potential for Grid-Scale Storage in Kenya
Blog by Edo Abraham, Derya Sadak, and Eunice Pereira Ramos, Department of Water Management, Delft University of Technology
As countries in Africa accelerate the development of their renewable energy systems to meet access targets and developmental needs for a reliable modern power system, a critical question looms for national energy planners: where will the grid-scale storage come from? New research from the EPIC Africa project takes on this challenge for Kenya and finds that the country has significant pumped hydro storage potential.
The Storage Gap
Kenya’s electricity system is already one of the most renewable in the world, with nearly 90% of generation coming from clean sources such as hydropower and geothermal. And yet, reliability remains a pressing challenge: blackouts increased from 26 to 48 between 2020 and 2023 [1]. The growing share of variable renewable energy (VRE) now and in future plans places additional pressure on grid stability that short-term battery storage alone cannot resolve. Pumped hydro storage (PHS), currently accounting for over 90% of global grid-scale storage by energy volume [2], offers a domestically resourced, long-duration storage solution. However, PHS deployment remains limited across Sub-Saharan Africa, hindered by high upfront capital costs, spatial complexity, and the general global trend of storage policy and planning behind, as reported by IEA [2]. This motivates country-specific planning frameworks to explore PHS potential in their clean energy transitions, taking into account local hydrological, environmental, and socio-economic needs.
A nexus approach for repurposing existing water bodies for energy storage
Although PHS is a mature technology that is cost-effective compared to other options (e.g., in terms of Kenyan Shillings per MWh of storage or MW of capacity), like hydropower, it is a capital-intensive infrastructure. Rather than starting from scratch with the construction of a new pair of reservoirs, our study investigates the repurposing of existing water bodies such as hydropower dams, natural lakes, and water storage reservoirs as components of paired PHS systems. This approach can significantly reduce capital costs while leveraging existing environmental assessments and grid connections. However, the economic case for existing water bodies cannot be evaluated on the cost of energy storage alone; water availability, land use, proximity to grid infrastructure and protected biodiversity must also be considered to assess which sites are genuinely feasible. To systematically capture these interactions, we based our analysis on the CLEWs (Climate, Land, Energy, and Water Systems) framework.
Within this framework, a GIS-based site-search screens all sufficiently large water bodies across Kenya’s five major basins, identifying candidate reservoir pairs in two terrain typologies: flat-area enclosed reservoirs (Type-I) and mountainous dry-gully reservoirs (Type-II). For each candidate site, the analysis quantifies storage capacity, capital cost, land footprint, water requirements, and proximity to roads, transmission lines, and Kenya’s most economically viable wind and solar zones.
What the Analysis Reveals for the Case of Kenya
Research by Karamountzos [3], conducted at TU Delft in collaboration with the EPIC Africa project, investigated the configuration of a net‑zero electricity system for Kenya in 2050 using an electricity dispatch model. The study found that approximately 50 GWh of storage capacity would be required to meet an annual electricity demand of 142 TWh—only a fraction of Kenya’s ample pumped‑hydro storage (PHS) potential, as shown in Figure 1.
The Rift Valley basin, on the west side of Kenya, holds the largest theoretical resource, with Type-I and Type-II storage estimated at 851 GWh and 163 GWh, respectively. Its large natural lakes and significant elevation differences enable high energy density with compact reservoir footprints and competitive unit costs. However, many of the most promising sites like Lakes Nakuru, Bogoria, Baringo, Naivasha, Elmenteita, and Olbolossat are Ramsar-designated wetlands under UNESCO protection, which could constitute a limiting factor for PHS deployment.
The Tana Basin offers a more modest but practically stronger case, with an estimated potential of 41 GWh. The basin’s hosts the Kenya’s Seven Forks hydropower cascade — Kamburu, Gitaru, Kindaruma, Kiambere, and Kirinyaga. From a PHS deployment perspective, the basin benefits from established grid connections and existing dam infrastructure, which would reduce construction costs. Additionally, the absence of Ramsar designations in the region could minimize permitting constraints. These existing dams represent the most deployment-ready candidates identified in the study. The analysis also reveals strong economies of scale. Figures 2.a and 2.b show that a large-scale 5 GWh system (blue dashed line) carries a unit CAPEX of approximately USD 750/kW, roughly three times lower than a smaller system (green dashed line) at around USD 2,300/kW. This presents national planners with a genuine strategic choice: deploy numerous smaller, distributed PHS units to serve off-grid and peri-urban communities or invest in fewer but larger facilities to maximise grid-scale storage.
Several high-potential storage sites also coincide with Kenya’s ”Model Supply Regions” identified in [3] as the most cost-effective zones for wind and solar development [4], as illustrated in Figure 3.
The Tana basin reservoirs and Lake Turkana, which is home to Africa’s largest wind farm, stand out as candidates for integrated renewable energy hubs, where PHS, wind, solar, and floating photovoltaics could be co-located for maximum system value.
Trade-offs the Energy-Water-Land Nexus Makes Visible
A distinctive contribution of this study is its explicit treatment of trade-offs that would be overlooked in an energy-only analysis. Rift Valley Lake sites achieve comparable storage to Tana basin hydropower reservoirs with land footprints roughly 20 hectares smaller — an advantage of the terrain’s greater elevation differences. Yet the Rift Valley’s protected wetlands add environmental and permitting constraints not encountered in the Tana Basin, where dam infrastructure is already in place. Water requirements add another dimension to site-selection decisions: locations with similar storage capacity and capital cost can differ substantially in the volume of water cycled between reservoirs. This is a critical consideration for Kenya, where many reservoirs serve multiple purposes such as irrigation, domestic supply, and flood mitigation alongside energy storage.
These are precisely the multi-objective cross-sectoral trade-offs that the CLEWs framework, and the EPIC Africa project more broadly, are. designed to uncover and make tractable for planners, policy-makers, and the communities whose livelihoods depend on these shared resources.
The Community Place-Based System Innovation scenario envisioned decentralized, self-sufficient communities utilizing renewable energy, smart agriculture, and digital connectivity to foster local resilience and prosperity. The WEF-Based Urbanization scenario imagined high-tech, climate-resilient smart cities, seamlessly integrating food systems, clean energy, and public infrastructure. In contrast, the Water Families scenario proposed an ecologically centered approach, where rivers are treated as living entities and governance is shared among interdependent community “families.” Participants evaluated each scenario against a core set of value clusters human dignity, basic needs, and sustainable resource management identified in the initial Transition Space workshops.
The full paper, “Towards a nexus-based assessment of energy-water-land interactions in pumped hydro storage opportunities for Kenya”, has been submitted to the Journal of Energy Storage and will be available as a preprint soon.
This work was funded by the European Horizon Europe Programme (2021–2027) under grant agreement No. 101083763 (EPIC Africa). The views expressed are those of the authors and do not represent the position of the European Commission.
References
[1] International Energy Agency (IEA), Kenya 2024: Energy policy review, Tech. rep., Paris, (accessed 17 November 2025). https://www.iea.org/reports/kenya-2024 (2025).
[2] International Hydropower Association, World hydropower outlook 2025: Opportunities to advance net zero, Tech. rep., (accessed 10 November 2025). https://www.hydropower.org/publications/2025-world-hydropower-outlook (2025).
[3] P. Karamountzos, A Bayesian approach for long-term energy planning: A case study of PHS deployment in Kenya’s 2050 power system, MSc thesis, Delft University of Technology, Delft, https://repository.tudelft.nl/record/uuid:c640b47f-f36e-4a05-8e0f-5db1a52ecbf9, The Netherlands, (2026).
[4] Sterl, S., Hussain, B., Miketa, A. et al. An all-Africa dataset of energy model “supply regions” for solar photovoltaic and wind power. Sci Data 9, 664 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-022-01786-5